Home > Education, Politics > Inside the numbers – BOE Elections

Inside the numbers – BOE Elections

November 11, 2010

OK, I looked at the precinct level numbers for the BOE election from earlier this month and they tell a better story about how some candidates fared. In district three,  Sarah Copelin-Woods did not cruise to a victory. Lets remember she got 51 percent of the vote. It looks bad because her opponents Holt and Wilson got 18 and 30 percent respectively. But if you look at from a precinct level, Woods only walked away with two precincts. In both she had a ten point differential between her and her combined opponents. She actually lost seven of the 25 precincts. I think it is fair to say she squeaked by. Also lets not forget that Robert Holt did no campaigning, and attended no forums. He pulled nearly 1/5th of the vote on name and dissatisfaction alone. Had he put an effort into this race we would be talking about a run-off in the 3rd.

In district 5, it was a wash. Jay Cunningham got 60 plus percent in every precinct save one, and in that one he got 57 percent.  The voters in district 5 are obviously happy with their representation.

In District 7,  Zepora Roberts won no precincts outright. In fact the closest she came to winning a precinct was a tie in Snapfinger Elementary precinct. In all the other precincts the combined opponents percent of the vote was double digits over Roberts. In half the precincts it was 25 percent or more. Roberts lost outright to Donna Edler in seven precincts. In Contrast, Edler lost four precincts to Roberts. In a nutshell, Edler, with thirty percent of the vote, is within range to unseat Roberts. Roberts has a heck of a hill to climb if she wants top keep that seat. When looking at the numbers, I have to wonder if Willie Mosley sucked votes from Edler or from Roberts. Mosley got 22 percent of the vote. If he sucked votes from Edler,  She will be a shoo-in to win. If he sucked votes from Roberts, we may have a WTF moment on December 1st. I spoke to Mr. Mosley and he has strong opinions about both candidates. He has a dislike for Roberts , who he sees as taking the schools in that district down among other issues, and he thinks Edler is unprepared for the seat. If he gets vocal, in the next couple of weeks I think he can get quite a few people to go back to the polls. We will have to wait and see if Enough people are upset enough to return to the polls on what will almost assuredly be a defining moment for DeKalb schools.

Finally a look at the numbers in district 9. Since this is a so called super district, it encompasses neighborhoods from the south and central parts of the county. Ella Smith essentially won the precincts above Memorial Drive, and Walker those south of Memorial. There were some notable exceptions. Walker one four precincts in the Emory area. Not only did he win them, he won them by double digits. He also ran a closer race in all the other precints than Smith did. Smith won ten precints by more than ten percent. Walker on the other hand won 44 by ten percent or more. Walker recieved at  least 40 percent of the vote in every precinct except one. Walkers strength was in South DeKalb precincts, but he ran strong enough in all precints unlike Smith. Walker was put back in office by residents throughout the district.

The numbers can be had if you go to DeKalbs website for elections here and download the statement of vote. Here are the excel documents I created from the election results database.

BOE-D7 Results

BOE-D3 Results

BOE-D9 Results

 

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  1. Dekalbite
    January 4, 2011 at 4:42 pm

    South DeKalb, you may disagree with me so just delete this post if you want.

    I am urging everyone to email Ms. Tyson and their BOE member and ask them not to back down on redistricting when confronted by the Fernbank parents. Many schools in South DeKalb are being shuttered, and almost everyone is going to have to have some changes come to their schools.

    “Name One” said in a comment on your “Inside the Numbers – BOE Elections” post:
    “Walker won four precincts in the Emory area. Not only did he win them, he won them by double digits……You know why? because he pandered to Fernbank Elem parents and promised them their attendance lines would not be changed, even if there is overwhelming data to do so, as nearby Medlock Elem is underpopulated…”
    I hope Walker and every BOE member realizes that he/she represents ALL of the students of DCSS.

    Fernbank is organizing, mobilizing and is determined that Ms. Tyson and the BOE will not touch their community. I’m appalled, but not at all surprised. If you recall, I commented on that same post:
    “…when it was suggested that FSC may be scaled back or eliminated, the Fernbank Community mobilized to the hilt. The result was that FSC was trimmed less than any local school that serves students. It was awesome to see them in action. ….I don’t think anyone could withstand the pressure from this group. Fernbank Elementary has so many gifted students, they have many teachers over the allotment from state gifted funds, and the PTA is so wealthy they can hire teachers to teach the “extras” like art, music, foreign language (and they have done so). They have the highest housing value in DeKalb with the average house going for close to $500,000. People choose that neighborhood and pay that kind of money because it is a close in, beautiful, safe neighborhood with good schools. Redistricting Fernbank will not be pleasant. They are without a doubt the most powerful group of parents in DCSS.when it was suggested that FSC may be scaled back or eliminated, the Fernbank Community mobilized to the hilt. The result was that FSC was trimmed less than any local school that serves students. It was awesome to see them in action.”

    Below is the Fernbank Community’s post on DeKalb School Watch. They are a well connected, wealthy group that has been touched little by the recession – a sleeping giant that has a sharp bite when disturbed. There’s right and wrong, and everything about this smacks me as wrong:

    “As many of you are aware, the Interim Superintendent produced a preliminary recommendation on school closures and redistricting last night that would redistrict a significant portion of Fernbank’s attendance zone to Briar Vista Elementary….the Fernbank PTA and the Fernbank School Council are staunchly opposed to this recommendation. Not only would the plan cut away a crucial and significant portion of our school, it would leave those who were not redistricted at a school with fewer teachers, fewer program offerings, and fewer committed families.

    In order to fully execute our opposition and to defeat this recommendation, we are assembling teams of parents and interested stakeholders who will be dedicated to different areas and tasks. We currently envision teams for: (1) legal — researching and drafting potential administrative and judicial redress; (2) political — identifying and working our community’s connections with anyone and any entity that may influence the Board’s decisionmaking; (3) communications and public relations — developing and coordinating both external contact with media outlets and internal communications via our e-mail groups and ConstantContact, as well as coordination with other schools opposing the current proposal; (4) research — from the consulting firm that drafted this redistricting proposal to campaign finance and other records relating to members of the Board of Education; (5) signature-gathering — we will be drafting a petition for recall of certain Board members and will need assistance in gathering the requisite signatures. If you are able to help on any of these teams, please e-mail Marshall Orson (mdorson@mail.com), Allison McConaughey (allison@hammersmith.net), or me (amypower@bellsouth.net).

    Similarly, if any of you have additional ideas or suggestions for methods of influencing the outcome of this process in our favor, please pass those along to any of us.

    We are working on scheduling a meeting at Fernbank with representatives from the School System and the Board of Education. If we are able to secure a date and time, it is absolutely imperative that we have a more-than-stellar turnout. We will need all parents and all members of the greater Fernbank community (even those without children at our school) to attend any meeting, in order to effectively convey the true level of our opposition to this preliminary recommendation.

    Toward that end, if you have friends or colleagues who are not our school e-mail list, please forward this e-mail to them so that they may add their names, for the time being, to our distribution list.

    Thank you, and we will keep you posted.”

  2. Dekalbite
    November 14, 2010 at 8:34 pm

    “A good portion of DCSS students get one 1.5 to 2.0 class a year.” Sorry, I meant A good portion of DCSS students get one 1.5 to 2.0 HOURS of class once a year. That’s right once a year they go to FSC for 1.5 hour to 2 hours. Unbelievable that this cost center was barely touched in the budget.

  3. Dekalbite
    November 14, 2010 at 7:12 pm

    @ Just Watch
    You’re right. Fernbank Science Center costs close to $7,000,000 a year in salaries, benefits, transportation and maintenance. A good portion of DCSS students get one 1.5 to 2.0 class a year. 90 students per semester attend their STEM class 3 hours a day. Out of 60+ employees, less than half of them are teachers.

    $7,000,000 would go a long way to hiring more science teachers in DCSS. Specifically, we could hire 125 Masters level and experienced science teachers with salary and benefits and put them in schools where our science scores are weak. They could teach thousands of students science concepts day after day instead of the one time shot they get at Fernbank. Yet when it was suggested that FSC may be scaled back or eliminated, the Fernbank Community mobilized to the hilt. The result was that FSC was trimmed less than any local school that serves students. It was awesome to see them in action.

    I don’t think anyone could withstand the pressure from this group. Fernbank Elementary has so many gifted students, they have many teachers over the allotment from state gifted funds, and the PTA is so wealthy they can hire teachers to teach the “extras” like art, music, foreign language (and they have done so). They have the highest housing value in DeKalb with the average house going for close to $500,000. People choose that neighborhood and pay that kind of money because it is a close in, beautiful, safe neighborhood with good schools. Redistricting Fernbank will not be pleasant. They are without a doubt the most powerful group of parents in DCSS.

  4. Just Watch
    November 14, 2010 at 6:16 pm

    It wouldn’t have matter, if Ella had won she would have had a hard time withstanding the pressure from those communities plus her personality is that of a pleaser.

  5. Dekalbite
    November 14, 2010 at 3:11 pm

    @ Name One
    I heard that as well. Fernbank parents are very powerful. It’s worked out well for their children, and it’s a beautiful, safe, affluent community. They are happy with things just the way they are.

  6. Why???
    November 12, 2010 at 5:43 pm

    DeKalb schools officer involved in shooting near Redan High School

    http://www.ajc.com/news/dekalb/dekalb-schools-officer-involved-738939.html

  7. Name One
    November 12, 2010 at 12:40 pm

    ” Walker one four precincts in the Emory area. Not only did he win them, he won them by double digits.”

    You know why? because he pandered to Fernbank Elem parents and promised them their attendance lines would not be changed, even if there is overwhelming data to do so, as nearby Medlock Elem is underpopulated.

    Instead being a leader who has to make some tough decision regarding re-districting, Gene Walker cowardly made a promise in return for votes.

  8. Name One
    November 12, 2010 at 12:29 pm

    Fantastic, informative, thorough post. Your best work yet on the blog.

  1. November 12, 2010 at 6:18 am
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